European Elections 2023: The Triumph of Populism and the Surge of the Far Right

• Though Europe’s future remains uncertain as it battles the dual threat of a flagging economy and illegal immigration, it is intriguing to note the rise of the far-right in several countries.
• The recent elections in Europe serve as a reminder that the choices made by individual nations have ramifications that reverberate well beyond their borders.
• The political developments in Switzerland, Poland, and Slovakia highlight that their choices can ripple across the global stage, affecting diplomatic alignments, trade partnerships, and security considerations.

In the ever-evolving political landscape of Europe, recent elections have brought about significant shifts with profound implications for the region’s future. From the notable rise of the far-right SVP party in Switzerland to the pivotal Polish parliamentary election, and the unexpected victory of Robert Fico in Slovakia, these developments underscore the dynamic political currents that are moulding the continent. These events, characterised by shifts in leadership and ideology, provide crucial insights into the evolving socio-political dynamics across Europe.

Switzerland Elections

In the recently held elections, the far-right SVP party, led by Marco Chiesa, has risen to power in Switzerland, capturing approximately 29% of the total seats in government. Their party’s platform is distinctly marked by anti-immigrant and anti-“woke” cultural sentiments. What makes this ascent particularly intriguing are the party’s novel agendas, most notably a bold proposal to increase the country’s population to a substantial 10 million.

One of the foundational pillars of the SVP’s platform is their unwavering commitment to Switzerland’s historical stance of geopolitical neutrality. They argue that Switzerland has strayed from this principle by taking actions that are perceived as adversarial to Russia. This promise to uphold Switzerland’s traditional neutrality places the party in a unique position on the global stage, especially considering the evolving dynamics of international relations.

However, Switzerland is not the only European nation experiencing this shift towards far-right politics. The trend began in Italy, with Prime Minister Meloni leading the way. It then extended to Finland, followed by Slovakia, and is now making waves in Austria and Sweden as well. The far-right political movements in these countries share common themes, including a focus on nationalism, stricter immigration policies, and resistance to what they perceive as “woke” cultural influences.

This broader wave of far-right politics sweeping across Europe signals a significant transformation in the continent’s political landscape. It suggests a growing dissatisfaction with traditional political parties and a preference for leaders and movements that offer alternative solutions and approaches to the complex challenges facing modern Europe. As these movements gain momentum, they are poised to shape the future of European politics, potentially redefining the continent’s political dynamics and alliances.

Elections in Poland

The Polish parliamentary election 2023 has emerged as a crucial political event to watch, following the Turkish Presidential election. Just recently, this highly anticipated election took place, with significant implications for Poland’s political landscape.

The primary contest revolved around the ruling Law and Justice party and the opposition Civic Alliance, led by the prominent figure of Donald Tusk. As the latest exit polls indicate, the ruling party secured 38% of the vote, while the opposition garnered 32%.

Despite the ruling party’s higher vote share, they face a challenging path to form a majority government. This complexity arises from the support that the opposition enjoys from the Third Way and Left, the third and fourth major parties, respectively. These dynamics promise a deeply competitive and potentially coalition-driven political environment in Poland.

It’s noteworthy that the incumbent ruling party had a centre-right, conservative ideology while maintaining a pro-European and pro-Ukraine stance. On the other hand, the Civic Alliance, leading the opposition, represents liberal democratic values and shares a Eurocentric outlook. Therefore, a shift in Polish policy towards Russia may take time to establish under a Tusk-led government, as both sides maintain a Eurocentric perspective.

Where substantial policy changes may emerge is in Poland’s approach to immigration. Under the centre-right government, Poland adopted a firm stance, often opposing the more migrant-friendly policies of EU counterparts. The potential change in government could lead to a reassessment of Poland’s position on immigration, impacting its alignment with EU policies.

The Polish parliamentary election in 2023 underscores the dynamic and evolving nature of European politics. The results and subsequent policies will not only impact Poland but also have implications for the broader European landscape. As the nation navigates its political transition, the world will closely watch how these developments influence regional and international affairs.

Slovakia Elections

In recent Slovakian parliamentary elections, Robert Fico and his Smer party emerged as winners but needed to form a coalition government. Fico’s campaign focused on a stance against the Ukraine conflict, emphasizing ending arms shipments and lifting sanctions against Russia. This approach resonated with many Slovaks who blame the West and Ukraine for the war’s social consequences.

Fico, often labelled “Slovakia’s Orban,” has a complex political history, but his recent electoral success might not lead to significant shifts in foreign policy. His potential coalition partners have varying positions on Ukraine, and Slovakia’s economic ties to the EU will likely moderate any extreme policy changes. Despite concerns from Brussels and Berlin, Slovakia’s foreign policy may remain relatively stable. In contemporary politics, practical interests often take precedence over ideological labels. Fico’s return to power marks an intriguing phase for Slovakia and Eastern Europe, with the potential for unexpected dynamics shaping foreign policy.

Furthermore, the recent elections in Europe underscore the ongoing debate about the balance between national sovereignty and European integration. As far-right movements gain ground and traditional parties grapple with evolving ideologies, the very foundations of the European Union and its member states’ relationships are being reexamined. This internal struggle has far-reaching consequences, not only for the future of the European project but also for the global order, as Europe’s unity and cohesion have traditionally played a pivotal role in shaping international affairs.

Additionally, the political developments in Switzerland, Poland, and Slovakia highlight the complexity of navigating foreign policy in an interconnected world. As these nations adapt to evolving dynamics in international relations, their choices can ripple across the global stage, affecting diplomatic alignments, trade partnerships, and security considerations. The intricacies of these decisions and their broader implications emphasize the interwoven nature of the global political landscape.

In essence, the recent elections in Europe serve as a reminder that the continent remains a crucible of political transformation and adaptation, where choices made by individual nations have ramifications that reverberate well beyond their borders. Observers worldwide will continue to closely monitor these developments as Europe navigates the path toward an uncertain yet intriguing future.

_{(The author is a post-graduate student in International Relations at Kalinga University, Raipur. Views and opinions expressed are the author’s own)}

Aayush Pal

_{(Aayush is a post-graduate student in International Relations at Kalinga University, Raipur. The opinions expressed are the author’s own)}